Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 6.894628e-01 0.885710 1.106688 1.370979 1.675535 2.012682 2.411287
2025-05-11 3.975387e-01 0.632291 0.932743 1.331747 1.834252 2.433464 3.189123
2025-05-18 2.412760e-01 0.482576 0.833628 1.346031 2.040778 2.918462 4.079016
2025-05-25 1.341203e-01 0.353102 0.720250 1.309216 2.164290 3.300489 4.863687
2025-06-01 8.657740e-02 0.296270 0.694350 1.382742 2.434399 3.882916 5.930856
2025-06-08 4.849855e-02 0.232065 0.634625 1.388433 2.600242 4.328038 6.833920
2025-06-15 3.205054e-02 0.206504 0.635909 1.488493 2.908870 4.982022 8.040008
2025-06-22 1.888399e-02 0.176424 0.617689 1.548768 3.156009 5.555788 9.152997
2025-06-29 9.560130e-03 0.145321 0.585738 1.576318 3.348473 6.054044 10.173009
2025-07-06 3.314396e-03 0.109902 0.528261 1.543342 3.434337 6.393055 10.973689
2025-07-13 1.072912e-03 0.089712 0.501860 1.565719 3.611198 6.871932 11.984016
2025-07-20 1.974585e-04 0.072545 0.475829 1.583019 3.777229 7.336825 12.982745
2025-07-27 5.590598e-08 0.051353 0.424069 1.536642 3.829849 7.633476 13.754719
2025-08-03 NaN 0.034411 0.373214 1.480990 3.858901 7.891997 14.476494
2025-08-10 NaN 0.025783 0.350683 1.489527 4.007598 8.346847 15.503097
2025-08-17 NaN 0.016503 0.311803 1.446615 4.051555 8.629685 16.273661
2025-08-24 NaN 0.014408 0.316501 1.523460 4.336731 9.320204 17.681894
2025-08-31 NaN 0.010105 0.297420 1.528594 4.476250 9.769519 18.726044
2025-09-07 NaN 0.009617 0.311772 1.634878 4.828400 10.586623 20.354259
2025-09-14 NaN 0.007994 0.312286 1.698857 5.095026 11.263726 21.774592
2025-09-21 NaN 0.005876 0.302241 1.728063 5.289443 11.821195 23.016244
2025-09-28 NaN 0.003262 0.274108 1.692865 5.343568 12.136825 23.881945
2025-10-05 NaN 0.002163 0.264324 1.716665 5.525457 12.677770 25.111075